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Exiting a Dubai investment: selling, the resale market and supply risk in autumn 2026

An investment is only worth what you can take out of it. We look at how selling works in Dubai, the state of the resale market in autumn 2026, and what the coming years' large housing supply means.

Urbán Réka · Founder, lead advisor10 October 202610 min read
Illuminated towers and canal of Dubai Marina in the evening

Most conversations about Dubai investment are about buying: which project, which payment plan, what yield. Yet the result of an investment is ultimately decided by the sale: when, at what price, at what cost, and how quickly you can turn the property back into money. That is why an exit plan belongs in the purchase decision.

This article starts from transaction data for the first nine months of 2026, walks through the selling process and its costs, and takes a sober look at the most talked-about risk: the large wave of handovers in the coming years.

Where the market stands in autumn 2026

According to a summary of Dubai Land Department (DLD) data, there were 123,416 property sales in Dubai between January and September 2026, worth AED 379.4 billion in total. That is the second-highest nine-month sales value in the market's history, behind only record-breaking 2025, when total real estate transactions reached AED 917 billion for the year.

AED 379.4bnsales value, Jan–Sep 2026
7,825ready apartments sold in Q3 2026
−4%average residential price change, Q2 2026, quarter on quarter
~32,000homes expected to be handed over in H2 2026

The year has not been even, though. The ValuStrat price index fell 5.9% in March and 1.9% in April, after regional tensions rose with the conflict involving Iran and buyers turned more cautious. Cushman & Wakefield reported average residential prices down 4% and rents down 6% in Q2 compared with the previous quarter.

The third quarter showed renewed activity, especially for ready homes: an analysis of DLD data found 7,825 ready apartments sold, 21.9% more than in Q2. The picture is not a collapse but normalisation after a very strong run, with buyers becoming more selective.

Who buys on the resale market?

In 2026 the ready market is built on smaller homes. Of the 23,985 ready apartments sold in the first nine months, 42.7% were one-bedrooms, 22.2% studios and 26.6% two-bedrooms. Most transactions took place in JVC (3,062), Business Bay (1,673), Dubai Marina (1,312) and the Burj Khalifa area (1,017).

That matters for your exit. The largest, most liquid pool of buyers is looking for well-located one- and two-bedroom apartments, to live in or to let. Selling one of those is usually easier than selling an unusual layout, an overpriced unit or a property that is hard to reach.

How a sale works

  1. Valuation. We set a realistic price from recent DLD transactions. What matters is registered sales, not asking prices.
  2. Listing agreement. The seller and broker sign RERA's standard listing contract (Form A). Advertising requires a DLD advertising permit.
  3. Offer and Form F. Once the price is agreed, the parties sign Form F and the buyer provides a deposit, typically 10% of the price.
  4. Developer NOC. The seller requests confirmation from the developer that no service charges are outstanding. Depending on the developer, it costs AED 500 to 5,000.
  5. Mortgage settlement. If the unit is mortgaged, the bank confirms the outstanding balance, which is settled from the price at transfer.
  6. Transfer at the trustee office. The price changes hands and the new title deed is issued. If you cannot attend, a power of attorney works.

What does selling cost?

Item Typical amount Note
Agency fee As agreed, often 2% + VAT Negotiable
Developer NOC AED 500–5,000 Varies by developer
Outstanding service charges The actual arrears Required for the NOC
Mortgage early repayment fee Up to 1% of the balance or AED 10,000, whichever is lower Central bank rule
DLD 4% In practice paid by the buyer
UAE capital gains tax None

Take a JVC apartment bought for AED 1.1 million and sold for AED 1.3 million. From the AED 200,000 difference, deduct the roughly AED 72,000 in fees paid on purchase and an agency fee of about 2% plus VAT on the sale, around AED 27,300. The real gain is therefore about AED 100,000, before counting rental income. Tax at home is a separate question; for Hungarian residents we cover it in our tax article.

Selling an off-plan position before handover

If you want to sell a unit still under construction, the developer's rules decide. Typically a minimum percentage must have been paid, the developer issues an NOC for a fee, and the new buyer takes over the remaining instalments. This works well when the project is progressing and the developer's current prices are above yours. If the developer is itself discounting in the same project, reselling your position at a profit becomes harder.

Supply risk, soberly

The most discussed risk is the number of handovers. In May 2025 Fitch Ratings warned that up to 120,000 new homes could be completed in 2026, against about 30,000 in 2024, and considered a price correction of no more than 15% likely in the second half of 2025 or in 2026.

Reality has been slower so far. In its Q1 2026 report Cavendish Maxwell expected 77,500 homes to be delivered over the full year, but only 42.3% of the handovers scheduled for the first quarter actually happened. In the second quarter, Cushman & Wakefield counted more than 13,200 completions, with around 32,000 expected in the second half.

What does that mean for a seller?

  • Supply is concentrated by area. Where many new homes arrive at once, rents and prices come under more pressure. In Q2, apartment prices in Business Bay and Downtown fell 7%.
  • Delays stretch the wave out. Because handovers slip, supply arrives over several years rather than all at once, which can soften the impact.
  • Quality and location make a difference. An apartment in a strong area and a well-maintained building competes less with new supply than an average unit in the middle of a district still under construction.
Do not count on automatic price growth

The strong price rises of 2022 to 2025 are no guarantee they will continue. Build your exit plan so the result still works at a flat or slightly lower sale price.

What you can do now for a later sale

Much of a successful sale is decided years earlier. If you already own in Dubai, or are buying now, these help a great deal:

  • Keep the paperwork in order. Title deed, leases, Ejari, service charge invoices, renovation receipts. The buyer and their bank will ask for them.
  • Avoid arrears. Unpaid service charges block the NOC needed for a sale, and settling them at the last minute can delay transfer.
  • Look after the home. A well-maintained, fresh-looking apartment performs better in photos and viewings, and leaves less room for haggling.
  • Follow local transactions. DLD-registered sales show where the market is heading and when your price expectation is realistic.
  • Plan around the tenant. The lease expiry and the 12-month notice rule determine when you can sell with vacant possession.

When does it make sense to sell?

There is no universal right moment, but a few practical points apply:

  • Tenant in place: a tenanted apartment can appeal to investors but not to owner-occupiers. To sell with vacant possession, the tenant needs 12 months' properly served notice.
  • Golden Visa: if your visa is tied to the property, selling may affect renewal. See our Golden Visa guide.
  • Currency: the proceeds arrive in dirhams, pegged to the dollar. When you convert into your home currency can be worth several percentage points on its own.
  • Service charges and refurbishment: a building's appeal can change before or after a major common-area renovation.

If you want a realistic view before buying, or are thinking about selling a Dubai property you already own, see our selling service or get in touch.

Frequently asked questions

How long does it take to sell a Dubai apartment?

That depends mostly on price and property type. In liquid areas, well-priced one- and two-bedroom apartments still met strong demand in 2026. More expensive or unusual properties can take longer.

Do I need to travel to sell?

Not necessarily. Transfer can be done with a power of attorney, but legalising and translating a power of attorney signed abroad takes time, so start early.

Could Dubai prices fall because of the new supply?

Yes, and in some areas and property types that was already visible in 2026. That is why location, quality and a realistic purchase price matter, and why your exit plan should not rely on further price growth.

Do I pay tax when I sell?

There is no capital gains tax for individuals in the UAE. For Hungarian tax residents, the treaty between the two countries in principle exempts the gain in Hungary; residents of other countries should check their own treaty. Confirm details with a tax adviser.

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Urbán RékaFounder, lead advisor · Monvero Estates

Urbán Réka founded Monvero. She works with buyers and investors in Budapest, Dubai and on the Costa del Sol, from setting the budget to signing. This article is for general information; for advice on your own situation, get in touch.